Tag archive for hurricane

Greatest hurricane movie ever? Key Largo

Key Largo has to be the greatest hurricane movie ever, and one of starriest pictures of all time. The cast will knock you out: Beginning with Bogart and Bacall, and including Lionel Barrymore, Claire Trevor and Edgar G. Robinson, for crying out loud, who dominates the picture as a gangster threatened by the power of the storm.

This one frame from Key Largo tells that story:

“You don’t like it, do you Rocco, the storm? Show it your gun, why don’t you? If it doesn’t stop, shoot it.”

Image may contain: 4 people, people sitting

Can’t you just hear the harsh grain in Bogart’s voice, as he forces the brazen gangster to face a truth bigger than he can handle? Where are the heroic truth tellers of today? Where have you gone Humphrey Bogart? Our nation turns its lonely eyes to you.

(In fact the inevitable “Shoot at Hurricane Irma” Facebook group formed in Florida in 2017 as Irma churned its way towards Florida — but forget all that, the movie is so much better. And so much better than the filmic Sharknado fare of today, or so it seems with the benefit of eighty years of hindsight.)


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“The eye of Michelle Bachman will be hitting Florida in a few hours…”

Gotta love those who can make it all funny…like the folks at Climate Name Change: 

Thank you 350.org.

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Hurricanes to be stronger AND more frequent: Emanuel

Kerry Emanuel, a leading analyst of hurricane behavior at MIT, has for years taken the position that hurricanes in the 21st century will be stronger, thanks to the global warming, but not necessarily more frequent. In fact, back in 2006, he published a paper arguing that no decadal shift could be detected in frequency of tropical cyclone generation, casting doubt on the idea. 

So when now he he publishes a study arguing that this century we will see greater numbers of hurricanes, as well as stronger ones, that's big news in the field. Even if it is mostly, near as I can tell, based on advances in modeling. 

From Andrew Freedman at Climate Central:

A new study by Kerry Emanuel, a prominent hurricane researcher at MIT, found that contrary to previous findings, tropical cyclones are likely to become both stronger and more frequent in the years to come, especially in the western North Pacific, where storms can devastate the heavily populated coastlines of Asian nations. Emanuel's research showed the same holds true for the North Atlantic, where about 12 percent of the world's tropical cyclones spin each year.

Emanuel's study casts doubt on what had been the consensus view of most climate scientists — that in most ocean basins, tropical cyclones are likely to become less frequent as the world warms, but that the storms that do occur are likely to contain stronger winds and heavier rains. That view was expressed most recently in a 2012 report from the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.


Full study is not yet available: Will be interesting to see response from Judith Curry and the natural variability crowd.  

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Denier at Watts Up with That: Sandy not really a hurricane

At climate change denier central, Watts Up with That, Willis Eschenbach wrote on Monday

I had said a couple of days ago, when Sandy was a hurricane, that it would not be a hurricane when it hit the coast. How did that go?

Well, as of the time that this location and projection of the path was done, the NDBC has shown all the nearest stations. Not one of the actual observations is showing sustained winds over 50 knots, and that’s a long ways from the 72 63 knots that marks a hurricane.

Please note that the big damage from such storms is the flooding, so I
am not minimizing the likely extent of the damage.  It will be
widespread. However … not a hurricane.

Has anyone in the rather chequered history of blogging ever been as completely, ridiculously, absurdly, preposterously monstrously wrong

[animation/video of Hurricane Sandy from NOAA]

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Romney calls FEMA disaster aid “immoral” (6/11)

A year and a half ago, during a GOP debate, when asked by a journalist if he would oppose Federal aid to disaster victims, or replace it with something else, Mitt Romney said yes. He would want to cut agencies such as FEMA, he indicated,  but would provide aid to the states, or allow privatization of emergency services. 

CNN/JOHN KING: …FEMA is about to run out of money, and there are some people who say do it on a case-by-case basis and some people who say, you know, maybe we’re learning a lesson here that the states should take on more of this role. How do you deal with something like that?

ROMNEY: Absolutely. Every time you have an occasion to take something from the federal government and send it back to the states, that’s the right direction. And if you can go even further and send it back to the private sector, that’s even better.

The questioner seemingly could not believe Romney's willingness to cut Federal aid to disaster victims, and asked about it again:

KING: Including disaster relief, though?

ROMNEY: We cannot — we cannot afford to do those things without jeopardizing the future for our kids. It is simply immoral, in my view, for us to continue to rack up larger and larger debts and pass them on to our kids, knowing full well that we’ll all be dead and gone before it’s paid off. It makes no sense at all.

"No sense at all." Someone should call Mitt on this — ask him if he still wants to cut Federal aid to hurricane victims. Except that he doesn't take any questions, which may be why he hasn't gone on any talkshows, when major shows — including Saturday Night Live — would love to book him.

After all, he's such a funny guy. 

[Pic of Mitt Romney and Meatloaf singing "America the Beautiful"]


When the aging two-hit wonder endorsed Romney a couple of days ago, Meatloaf said: "There has storm clouds come over the United States." 

On this we all can agree. According to Dr. Jeff Masters, who has been blogging about hurricanes since l995, tropical cyclone Sandy is already one of the largest hurricanes ever recorded, of near-record size


Update: Ryan Grim reached the Romney campaign last night and they confirmed bia email that yes, they want to cut Federal aid for aid to the states, even in emergencies such as hurricanes. 

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Hurricane Issac on track for New Orleans

Oh boy


Landfall expected Wednesday, seven years after Hurricane Katrina

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Hurricane Irene disappoints jaded New Yorkers

In the aftermath of the hurricane, came complaints about hype: Was Hurricane Irene a disappointment? 

Media analyst Howard Kurtz says yes. After all, Irene wasn't even a hurricane when it made landfall in NYC. Other New Yorkers are equally dismissive: A NYC gossip site called Irene The Sudden Sex Celebrity without Much Bang. Scallywag wrote: 

she’ll more than likely be the sexy hot dame that tantalized us and left us a smidgen disappointed that we didn’t get to experience the type of rude shock that we were told to look out for.

An anonymous texter had a similarly sexualized reaction to the storm: 

Last night in my drunkenness I bought hurricane supplies which included a jug of wine and a bouquet of flowers. Apparently I'm going to woo Irene. 

Even Susan Orlean, The New Yorker writer, saw the storm as beddable (on Facebook). 

If Irene were my boyfriend, I'd say enough with the foreplay, dude. The moment has passed. 

But Orlean, who is funny, was kidding. Her coworker Elizabeth Kolbert, after surveying the science on the did global warming cause Irene question? pointed out what needed to be said

When we add all of these risk factors together, we can say with a great deal of confidence that in the future, there will be more and more events like Irene. We can comfort ourselves by saying that this particular storm was not necessarily caused by global warming. Or we can acknowledge the truth, which is that we are making the world a more dangerous place and, what’s more, that we know it.

Maybe if Kolbert was looking at the natural world through the TV screen, for entertainment. she'd react differently. 

Hurricane Irene 2011: Weather Channel Streaker Disrupts Coverage (VIDEO)

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How to handle a hurricane: Katherine Hepburn

Back when stars were stars, and knew how to deal. 

1938 - Katharine Hepburn in Hurricane Wreckage-thumb-500x705-38946

From Roger Ebert's ever-surprising Journal and Twitter feed. 

[Note: pick taken after the l938 hurricane that devastated Long Island.] 

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Oh boy (I read the news today — the oil news)

If a hurricane comes, it will only the oily mess in the Gulf of Mexico worse:

"If you get a storm which is coming toward the coast you can get a
significant storm surge," {William] Drennan told [Brian Beutler] in an interview Thursday
afternoon. "If you get a storm surge, then the top meter of the water is
going to go…certainly hundreds of feet possibly miles inland."

That, he said, could propel oil "deep into the marshland," where the
ecological impact could be worse than if the oil remained on the
surface or slightly below.

"The ideal situation would be to keep it away from land," Drennan
says. "If it could be kept away from lands, the wet lands tend to be
very good hatcheries of everything from fish to birds…. Once you go
the oil deep into the wetlands it'll take a long time before it gets
flushed back."

Similarly, Drennan said, a big storm will cause mixing in the ocean,
drawing oil from the water column below back up to the surface, where it
can again be flushed ashore.

All of this is to say nothing of the impact on the ongoing efforts to
cap the gushing well. Not only would work crews have to be brought in
to port to wait out the storm, but the storm could damage the rigs being
used to drill the two relief wells.

Drennan is a hurricane expert at the University of Miami. TPM.

xkcd is a cartoonist who specializes in worst-case scenarios, and finding the funny in all this:

H/T: Ashley Braun

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How You Feel When You Think of the Climate

As the ever-quotable Tom Friedman of the New York Times points out, Bush has left Obama with two ginormous deficits; one economic, the other related to climate. In an interview, Friedman said:

We basically did nothing for eight years, and in fairness to Bush we
didn't do much in the eight years previous, either, to mitigate climate
change. The tragedy is that we've got two deficits to overcome. We need
people to care about both of those deficits.

True. And it's tough just to pay attention. For those interested in this issue, I highly recommend an aggregation site called The Daily Climate, which does an excellent job of assembling the top twelve or so stories about climate every day, under categories such as "Solutions," "Consequences," "Causes," and so forth. It's a good site, and it's free…but it's not easy to face with your morning coffee.

Speaking of mornings…here's another way to look at the issue. The election was a dream, but now we wake up again to the chaos around us. Courtesy of the hard-working, gifted, and generous Steve Brodner of The New Yorker, among many other publications. 

Find more at his drawger page, here.

Wake Up Call sm

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